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JAKARTA - Unseasonally heavy rains will continue across Indonesia for the rest of this year, officials from the country's state weather agency said on Wednesday, after rains have damaged crops, hampered miners and boosted inflation.
Officials said in a twice-yearly weather forecast on Wednesday the unseasonal rains in the country, which has seen rain continue after the normal end of the wet season in April, were because of the La Nina weather anomaly.
"In our 2010-2011 rainy season estimation, we can see that rains will start earlier than they used to in 60.5 percent of Indonesia." Soeroso Hadiyanto of the Indonesian Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics agency (BMKG).
This could be bad news for the government, which is trying to ensure inflation does not get out of hand. Rains have reduce crop harvests and helped push annual inflation to a 15-month high of 6.22 percent in July, above the central bank's end-2010 target.
Food prices were already expected to rise further in the next month because of the festive Ramadan season, with inflation fears pushing debt investors towards the front end of the bond curve. In Sumatra, a sources of commodities such as coffee, tin and coal, a rainy season due to start in October had already started this month, said Hadiyanto.
Coffee exporters in Indonesia's main growing province of Lampung in Sumatra have stockpiled at least 120,000 tonnes of beans after heavy rains damaged the quality. Rains are also a concern for miners. Rains led to a force majeure of coal output at a unit of Indonesian coal miner PT Bayan Resources in Kalimantan last month, affecting a 115,000 tonne August shipment to trader Vitol.
Most of Indonesia usually has a dry season in July, August and September, but agency data in July and for the first 10 days of August showed that extreme weather has hit the archipelago, with rainfall intensity above normal except in some parts of eastern province Papua. In coming months, some parts of the main island Java, all of tourist resort island Bali, eastern Nusa Tenggara and some parts of Papua will be dry, Hadiyanto said.
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